Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.024955 0.026852 0.028832 0.031055 0.033486 0.036064 0.039010
2025-01-05 0.021719 0.024399 0.027342 0.030825 0.034848 0.039363 0.044838
2025-01-12 0.019265 0.022338 0.025842 0.030155 0.035350 0.041442 0.049178
2025-01-19 0.017936 0.021346 0.025357 0.030461 0.036831 0.044585 0.054839
2025-01-26 0.016719 0.020335 0.024701 0.030414 0.037765 0.047008 0.059670
2025-02-02 0.015901 0.019719 0.024442 0.030778 0.039163 0.050026 0.065406
2025-02-09 0.014925 0.018821 0.023737 0.030481 0.039624 0.051785 0.069518
2025-02-16 0.014139 0.018105 0.023204 0.030342 0.040243 0.053741 0.073979
2025-02-23 0.013404 0.017404 0.022635 0.030096 0.040663 0.055406 0.078095
2025-03-02 0.012828 0.016878 0.022259 0.030073 0.041366 0.057477 0.082911
2025-03-09 0.012171 0.016201 0.021635 0.029652 0.041453 0.058629 0.086386
2025-03-16 0.011526 0.015507 0.020947 0.029091 0.041281 0.059362 0.089224
2025-03-23 0.011014 0.014982 0.020475 0.028824 0.041540 0.060772 0.093265
2025-03-30 0.010534 0.014477 0.020006 0.028533 0.041737 0.062084 0.097232
2025-04-06 0.009991 0.013857 0.019340 0.027904 0.041365 0.062462 0.099644
2025-04-13 0.009744 0.013655 0.019274 0.028179 0.042415 0.065166 0.106202
2025-04-20 0.009428 0.013335 0.019014 0.028136 0.042945 0.067038 0.111434
2025-04-27 0.009231 0.013184 0.018998 0.028468 0.044094 0.069999 0.118833
2025-05-04 0.008893 0.012805 0.018618 0.028196 0.044223 0.071222 0.123123
2025-05-11 0.008611 0.012500 0.018337 0.028070 0.044582 0.072852 0.128289
2025-05-18 0.008323 0.012173 0.018009 0.027845 0.044756 0.074157 0.132917
2025-05-25 0.008098 0.011936 0.017810 0.027824 0.045275 0.076102 0.138942
2025-06-01 0.007804 0.011580 0.017407 0.027441 0.045133 0.076826 0.142565